Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-23 0.001162 0.001311 0.001462 0.001625 0.001796 0.001969 0.002159
2025-03-02 0.000788 0.001005 0.001236 0.001497 0.001782 0.002082 0.002417
2025-03-09 0.000526 0.000784 0.001077 0.001424 0.001816 0.002240 0.002726
2025-03-16 0.000342 0.000621 0.000962 0.001385 0.001880 0.002428 0.003071
2025-03-23 0.000233 0.000528 0.000915 0.001417 0.002020 0.002701 0.003511
2025-03-30 0.000141 0.000434 0.000853 0.001421 0.002124 0.002931 0.003904
2025-04-06 0.000076 0.000356 0.000801 0.001430 0.002228 0.003159 0.004294
2025-04-13 0.000034 0.000294 0.000759 0.001446 0.002337 0.003391 0.004687
2025-04-20 0.000006 0.000221 0.000686 0.001412 0.002378 0.003540 0.004982
2025-04-27 NaN 0.000160 0.000620 0.001379 0.002417 0.003681 0.005265
2025-05-04 NaN 0.000138 0.000616 0.001433 0.002565 0.003954 0.005703
2025-05-11 NaN 0.000105 0.000583 0.001439 0.002648 0.004146 0.006043
2025-05-18 NaN 0.000051 0.000484 0.001348 0.002610 0.004202 0.006239
2025-05-25 NaN 0.000019 0.000410 0.001286 0.002611 0.004309 0.006501
2025-06-01 NaN 0.000004 0.000358 0.001255 0.002652 0.004466 0.006827
2025-06-08 NaN NaN 0.000320 0.001243 0.002719 0.004657 0.007194
2025-06-15 NaN NaN 0.000314 0.001290 0.002871 0.004958 0.007698
2025-06-22 NaN NaN 0.000294 0.001306 0.002976 0.005199 0.008130
2025-06-29 NaN NaN 0.000275 0.001322 0.003082 0.005439 0.008559
2025-07-06 NaN NaN 0.000260 0.001343 0.003193 0.005686 0.008998
2025-07-13 NaN NaN 0.000224 0.001313 0.003226 0.005831 0.009308
2025-07-20 NaN NaN 0.000191 0.001284 0.003258 0.005971 0.009611
2025-07-27 NaN NaN 0.000193 0.001338 0.003417 0.006280 0.010124